Archive for April, 2010

Wireless Now Drives Broadband Access

Friday, April 30th, 2010
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It sometimes is hard to keep up with all the changes occurring in the communications business.
“In 2004, Wi-Fi was embryonic, the Motorola Razr was the hot phone, the BlackBerry was
a CEO’s email device, and Apple’s most recognizable product was an orange-sicle laptop,” says Bret Swanson, president of  Entropy Economics LLC.
The point is that Internet innovation hardly has been a problem, and Swanson is not convinced creating new rules about “packet neutrality” actually would have a neutral impact on potential for further innovation on the facilities side of the Internet business.
But one of the sometimes unnoticed changes is the huge role wireless now plays in the broadband access business. In fact, by some measures wireless now accounts for the majority of bandwidth consumed by U.S. consumers, for example. Not surprisingly, that suggests wireless bandwidth is where key growth will occur over the coming decade as well.
“Wireless carriers invested $100 billion in just the past three years, and the United States vaulted past Europe in fast 3G mobile networks,” he says. “Americans enjoy mobile voice prices 60 percent cheaper than foreign peers.”
“And the once closed mobile ecosystem is more open, modular and dynamic than ever,” he adds. “We estimate that between 2000 and 2008, total U.S. consumer bandwidth grew from just 7.9 terabits per second to 717 terabits per second.”
“On a per capita basis, consumer bandwidth grew to almost 3 megabits per second in 2009 from just 28 kilobits per second in 2000,” says Swanson.
Between 2000 and 2008, total residential bandwidth grew 54 times; total wireless bandwidth grew 542 times; total consumer bandwidth grew 91 times; residential bandwidth per capita grew 50 times; wireless bandwidth per capita grew 499 times and total consumer bandwidth per capita grew 84 times, for a compound annual growth rate of 74 percent.
Swanson estimates U.S. Internet traffic will continue to rise 50 percent annually through 2015. Cisco estimates wireless data traffic will rise 131 percent per year through 2013. That means hundreds of billions of dollars of new investment will be required.
So the question must be asked: “if network service providers can’t design their own networks, offer creative services, or make fair business transactions with vendors, will they invest these massive sums to meet (and drive) demand?” Swanson rhetorically asks.
http://fjallfoss.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/view?id=7020441342

us bandwidthIt sometimes is hard to keep up with all the changes occurring in the communications business.

“In 2004, Wi-Fi was embryonic, the Motorola Razr was the hot phone, the BlackBerry was a CEO’s email device, and Apple’s most recognizable product was an orange-sicle laptop,” says Bret Swanson, president of  Entropy Economics LLC.

The point is that Internet innovation hardly has been a problem, and Swanson is not convinced creating new rules about “packet neutrality” actually would have a neutral impact on potential for further innovation on the facilities side of the Internet business.

But one of the sometimes unnoticed changes is the huge role wireless now plays in the broadband access business. In fact, by some measures wireless now accounts for the majority of bandwidth consumed by U.S. consumers, for example. Not surprisingly, that suggests wireless bandwidth is where key growth will occur over the coming decade as well.

“Wireless carriers invested $100 billion in just the past three years, and the United States vaulted past Europe in fast 3G mobile networks,” he says. “Americans enjoy mobile voice prices 60 percent cheaper than foreign peers.”

“And the once closed mobile ecosystem is more open, modular and dynamic than ever,” he adds. “We estimate that between 2000 and 2008, total U.S. consumer bandwidth grew from just 7.9 terabits per second to 717 terabits per second.”

“On a per capita basis, consumer bandwidth grew to almost 3 megabits per second in 2009 from just 28 kilobits per second in 2000,” says Swanson.

Between 2000 and 2008, total residential bandwidth grew 54 times; total wireless bandwidth grew 542 times; total consumer bandwidth grew 91 times; residential bandwidth per capita grew 50 times; wireless bandwidth per capita grew 499 times and total consumer bandwidth per capita grew 84 times, for a compound annual growth rate of 74 percent.

Swanson estimates U.S. Internet traffic will continue to rise 50 percent annually through 2015. Cisco estimates wireless data traffic will rise 131 percent per year through 2013. That means hundreds of billions of dollars of new investment will be required.

So the question must be asked: “if network service providers can’t design their own networks, offer creative services, or make fair business transactions with vendors, will they invest these massive sums to meet (and drive) demand?” Swanson rhetorically asks.

http://fjallfoss.fcc.gov/ecfs/document/view?id=7020441342

by Gary Kim


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Financial IT Managers Ask for Microsecond Granularity

Monday, April 26th, 2010
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Financial IT Managers Ask for Microsecond Granularity
The financial industry long has been a lead adopter of the latest technology innovations, and the quest for absolute low latency communications is among the latest areas where securities firms are pushing carriers and service providers for unheard-of latency performance.
At a conference sponsored by A-Team, financial industry information technology executives pointed out that they now are looking for transaction latency performance measured in microseconds. To put that in perspective, latencies on the best optical networks are measured in milliseconds (thousandths of a second).
Asked what might be possible in the relatively near future, though not necessarily as a market-available product today, Jock Percy, Perseus Telecom CEO, suggested it might be possible to get to 14 milliseconds on the New York to Chicago route; 64 milliseconds across the Atlantic or 95 milliseconds from Los Angeles to Tokyo. Keep in mind that financial IT executives were asking for performance in microseconds, roughly three orders of magnitude more stringent than those metrics.
Even on the fastest networks, it takes seven milliseconds for data to travel between the New York and Chicago markets, one way, and 35 milliseconds between the West and East coasts. For that reason, many broker-dealers and execution-services firms are paying premiums to place their servers inside the data centers of Nasdaq and the NYSE.
Though some executives suggested much of the latency actualy was caused by applications, servers and other hardware, carrier executives said one obvious way to reduce latency in transmission links was to select the shortest routes. Some providers have an easier time of it.
John Knuff, Equinix general manager pointed out that one additional way to limit latency is to avoid placing any network gear between one firm and a trading partner. For Equinex, that means connecting trading partners within a single collocation facility.
That’s good advice even for a local, regional or international link as well, says Accedian Networks VP Scott Sumner. “Whenever possible, you want to eliminate as many active elements as possible,” he says.
But is is not often possible to connect every trading partner within a single facility. When physical collocation is not possible, RCN Metro has to figure out what locations are key to those trading partners, and make sure it has high-capacity and direct links between those locations, says Mary Stanhope, RCN Metro senior director. “Then you groom the circuits between the locations,” she says.
“After making sure you have the shortest-possible route, you also can take advantage of tweaking the dispersion compensation method, for example,” says Ernie Hoffmann, Optimum Lightpath VP.
“Network design also plays a role,” says Percy. Also, “it’s easier if the transport is at layer one instead of layer two,” says Hoffmann.
In fact, some customers now are asking for latency measurements made every second on a communications path, says Hoffmann.
Others note that measurements made as often as every tenth of a second likely will be requested. One issue financial IT staffs now are attempting to grapple with are microbursts of data that temporarily cause huge spikes in bandwidth demand.
An example is the start of a trading day, when networks are hit with a flood of orders that have been queueing up since the night before.
To analyze performance issues, network managers often have to break out a one-second period into 100 millisecond intervals, 10 millisecond intervals, or 5 microsecond intervals for investigations.
A sub-second period where a major burst of traffic occurs is known as a microburst.
Some communication executives will point out that such microburst problems can be avoided if there is enough bandwidth on a link, or even when “bursting” features are available on a connection. The issue, as always, is the balance between latency performance and bandwidth cost.

The financial industry long has been a lead adopter of the latest technology innovations, and the quest for absolute low latency communications is among the latest areas where securities firms are pushing carriers and service providers for unheard-of latency performance.

At a conference sponsored by A-Team, financial industry information technology executives pointed out that they now are looking for transaction latency performance measured in microseconds. To put that in perspective, latencies on the best optical networks are measured in milliseconds (thousandths of a second).

Asked what might be possible in the relatively near future, though not necessarily as a market-available product today, Jock Percy, Perseus Telecom CEO, suggested it might be possible to get to 14 milliseconds on the New York to Chicago route; 64 milliseconds across the Atlantic or 95 milliseconds from Los Angeles to Tokyo. Keep in mind that financial IT executives were asking for performance in microseconds, roughly three orders of magnitude more stringent than those metrics.

Even on the fastest networks, it takes seven milliseconds for data to travel between the New York and Chicago markets, one way, and 35 milliseconds between the West and East coasts. For that reason, many broker-dealers and execution-services firms are paying premiums to place their servers inside the data centers of Nasdaq and the NYSE.

Though some executives suggested much of the latency actualy was caused by applications, servers and other hardware, carrier executives said one obvious way to reduce latency in transmission links was to select the shortest routes. Some providers have an easier time of it.

John Knuff, Equinix general manager pointed out that one additional way to limit latency is to avoid placing any network gear between one firm and a trading partner. For Equinex, that means connecting trading partners within a single collocation facility.

That’s good advice even for a local, regional or international link as well, says Accedian Networks VP Scott Sumner. “Whenever possible, you want to eliminate as many active elements as possible,” he says.

But is is not often possible to connect every trading partner within a single facility. When physical collocation is not possible, RCN Metro has to figure out what locations are key to those trading partners, and make sure it has high-capacity and direct links between those locations, says Mary Stanhope, RCN Metro senior director. “Then you groom the circuits between the locations,” she says.

“After making sure you have the shortest-possible route, you also can take advantage of tweaking the dispersion compensation method, for example,” says Ernie Hoffmann, Optimum Lightpath VP.

“Network design also plays a role,” says Percy. Also, “it’s easier if the transport is at layer one instead of layer two,” says Hoffmann.

In fact, some customers now are asking for latency measurements made every second on a communications path, says Hoffmann.

Others note that measurements made as often as every tenth of a second likely will be requested. One issue financial IT staffs now are attempting to grapple with are microbursts of data that temporarily cause huge spikes in bandwidth demand.

An example is the start of a trading day, when networks are hit with a flood of orders that have been queueing up since the night before.

To analyze performance issues, network managers often have to break out a one-second period into 100 millisecond intervals, 10 millisecond intervals, or 5 microsecond intervals for investigations.

A sub-second period where a major burst of traffic occurs is known as a microburst.

Some communication executives will point out that such microburst problems can be avoided if there is enough bandwidth on a link, or even when “bursting” features are available on a connection. The issue, as always, is the balance between latency performance and bandwidth cost.

by Gary Kim


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“Wholesale” Shift of Mobile Backhaul Over Last 6 Months

Thursday, April 22nd, 2010
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“Wholesale” Shift of Mobile Backhaul Over Last 6 Months
Mobile backhaul strategy seems to be in a quite different place today than it was six months ago, when most survey respondents suggested they still were pursuing a hybrod strategy using both time division multiplex and IP and Ethernet.
But “we have seen a wholesale shift in backhaul strategies as operators try to reduce the costs associated with skyrocketing mobile data traffic,” says Michael Howard, Infoentics principal analyst. “Just last month when we repeated the survey, most operators told us they plan to use a single IP/Ethernet backhaul, whether over microwave, fiber, or copper.”
Mobile operators and transport providers now trust IP/Ethernet to do the whole job, including the tricky timing and synchronization required for most of the world’s mobile networks, he says.
Mobile backhaul equipment spending increased 21 percent in 2009, to $7.2 billion worldwide, and should grow to $10.4 billion by 2014, Infonetics Research says.
“The Ethernet-only microwave segment is poised for rapid growth over the next few years, out-performing hybrid TDM/Ethernet solutions,” says Richard Webb, Infonetics directing analyst.
Infonetics expects almost 1.5 billion new mobile subscribers and about 1.2 billion new mobile broadband subscribers between 2010 and 2014, which will require more base stations, more cell site connections, higher backhaul capacities, and equipment for each cell site connection.
“Despite NTT DoCoMo’s shift in topology aimed at cutting LTE deployment costs by leveraging the existing W-CDMA footprint with remote radio head (RRH)-based expansion, there is no slowdown foreseen in the LTE market, only acceleration, Infonetics says.
LTE subscribers could exceed 153 million by 2014, with most of them split between Asia Pacific and Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.
But it isn’t just LTE that is driving investment. Existing third-generation networks are being deployed as well. “With increasing numbers of telecom carriers around the world upgrading their networks to HSPA+ and LTE, Ethernet-based microwave equipment will get a nice boost in 2010 as carriers continue investing in enhanced mobile backhaul solutions,.” says Richard Webb, Infonetics directing analyst.Mobile backhaul strategy seems to be in a quite different place today than it was six months ago, when most survey respondents suggested they still were pursuing a hybrod strategy using both time division multiplex and IP and Ethernet.

But “we have seen a wholesale shift in backhaul strategies as operators try to reduce the costs associated with skyrocketing mobile data traffic,” says Michael Howard, Infoentics principal analyst. “Just last month when we repeated the survey, most operators told us they plan to use a single IP/Ethernet backhaul, whether over microwave, fiber, or copper.”

Mobile operators and transport providers now trust IP/Ethernet to do the whole job, including the tricky timing and synchronization required for most of the world’s mobile networks, he says.

Mobile backhaul equipment spending increased 21 percent in 2009, to $7.2 billion worldwide, and should grow to $10.4 billion by 2014, Infonetics Research says.

“The Ethernet-only microwave segment is poised for rapid growth over the next few years, out-performing hybrid TDM/Ethernet solutions,” says Richard Webb, Infonetics directing analyst.

Infonetics expects almost 1.5 billion new mobile subscribers and about 1.2 billion new mobile broadband subscribers between 2010 and 2014, which will require more base stations, more cell site connections, higher backhaul capacities, and equipment for each cell site connection.

“Despite NTT DoCoMo’s shift in topology aimed at cutting LTE deployment costs by leveraging the existing W-CDMA footprint with remote radio head (RRH)-based expansion, there is no slowdown foreseen in the LTE market, only acceleration, Infonetics says.

LTE subscribers could exceed 153 million by 2014, with most of them split between Asia Pacific and Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

But it isn’t just LTE that is driving investment. Existing third-generation networks are being deployed as well. “With increasing numbers of telecom carriers around the world upgrading their networks to HSPA+ and LTE, Ethernet-based microwave equipment will get a nice boost in 2010 as carriers continue investing in enhanced mobile backhaul solutions,.” says Richard Webb, Infonetics directing analyst.

by Gary Kim


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